Confidence to Pretire: Know Your Levers

“Will I run out of money?” is the most prominent question people start their pretirement planning with. After pondering it for several years myself, and as a member of a married couple, I think it is a flawed question. A much better and more liberating one is, “What are the many ways we can adapt our lives so that we always have more than enough?”

Having a plan for pretirement is comforting and exciting but it can also feel constraining.  Our Vanguard Personal Advisor Services plan is adaptable but it can also feel like driving on a freeway to reach an appointment in another city with someone important who is expecting you:  Will traffic slow me down?  Do I have enough gas?  Will I take the wrong exit and get lost?

I find that using retirement calculators, though handy, is similarly stressful.  Each one seems to be different and none are able to incorporate all of the many variables in a person or family’s life.  It’s not possible.  Retirement calculators and professional financial plans have their place in the toolkit but should be kept in perspective.  The biggest tool we have is the flexibility to adapt.

What is different about your life from ten years ago, major changes that you didn’t expect to happen?  Are you living in a new city?  Did you have more kids or no kids unexpectedly?  Are you divorced?  Married to someone you didn’t know ten years ago?  Managing an illness you didn’t expect?  In a new career?  Back in graduate school?  The point is, life is not fully predictable, which makes financial plans and retirement calculators of limited utility.

One adapts to change.  “Embracing Change” is one of those workplace cliches but it is a mandatory mind and skill set.  I’ve known people who hunker down and ignore change as a coping strategy but they often end up worse off.  Rather than hunkering down and ignoring change, it is usually more successful to keep one’s antennae in the air, making small adjustments as change is warranted rather than waiting to be forced to make really big changes that have been ignored.

Happily, as in any other sector of life, we can anticipate and embrace change by adapting our pretirement plans.  Those documents and calculators can give the impression that we only have a binary choice:  Work until we don’t have to work at all anymore or quit sooner and watch all the money run out. The problem is plans and calculators cannot encompass the nearly infinite variety of options a person has across the next 30-plus years of pretirement and retirement in a changing world.  

After years of reading enjoyable financial blogs and books, listening to podcasts and playing with partially-helpful calculators, I’ve mentally broken through to viewing pretirement as an adventure, not a calculation. Adaptation is its key rather than a huge portfolio. I am no longer as concerned about running out of money as I was when I started this journey of self-education and preparation.  Rather than the simplistic and limiting “Will I run out of money?” output, the question has evolved for me to “What levers can I pull and when that will give me the income I need to foster maximum self-determination and happiness in my life?”

Levers To Pull in Pretirement

What are some of the tools at our disposal to ensure that we don’t just sit in our chairs until suddenly, in total surprise, the portfolio fails and all the money runs out?  Here is a very partial list:

  1. Part-time work of some kind, either self-employed or working enjoyably for someone else, or maybe both at the same time.
  2. Run our house as a vacation rental.
  1. Rent out our house long-term and live somewhere else.  That would be a break-even proposition right now, given our mortgage, so there’s little value in doing it.  Someday, the economics might make more sense.
  1. Downsize our house.  Lots of people live in smaller and less-expensive condos and apartments than the house we live in.  This 103 year-old house has two sets of stairs and a big yard that we might tire of working on someday.  If we sell and downsize, buying or renting a less-expensive place to maintain, clean and operate, several points are added to the confidence level.
  1. Refinance the house.  This doesn’t make sense now but we might like to leverage our equity in the future.  I don’t love the idea of reverse mortgages but it’s another viable way for older people to finance retirement.
  2. Sell the house and buy a duplex, living in half.  Such a move could help neutralize one’s mortgage.
  3. Co-housing is a mostly-European concept but is also practiced in America.  It’s a way to share expenses and create a community of human relationships, both of which are important for a comfortable and happy life.  I plan to explore this topic more in future posts, just because it sounds interesting.
  4. Move to the country or a smaller town.  We find lots of ways to spend money enjoying our city.  If we had to, we could move to a cheaper area.  Lots of people do, which changes their economic picture.
  5. Move to a different country.  We have friends who live much of the year in Latin America and I had an uncle who hit hard times and moved to Costa Rica, where he could afford to get on with his life.  There are lots of expats living adventurous lives in less expensive countries.
  6. Simply reach age 70 before we take Social Security.  Taking Social Security at age 62, as most people do because they choose to or have to, provides a subsistence level benefit.  Waiting until 70 allows the payment to increase by 8% for each year one holds off.  This additional 8 years of compounding makes waiting until 70 a whole other proposition and can allow an above-average income in retirement all by itself.  For someone who has not saved, simply figuring out ways to literally buy time until age 70 could be the way to go for their retirement.
  7. Buy adequate insurance.  We have lots of it:  car insurance, home insurance, long term care insurance, term life insurance, liability insurance, even smart phone insurance.  Nothing can solve all financial problems and protect us from losing all of our assets in any eventuality but we can dramatically reduce the odds of and damage from such an event.
  8. Avoid debt.  Eliminating all debt beyond a low interest mortgage in pretirement gives a person flexibility to pull many other levers elsewhere.
  9. Allow for financial upsides.  So much of financial planning is anticipating and managing risks that are downsides.  What if good stuff happens, too?  The financial markets might perform better than expected.  None of the experts ever predicted the creation of Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix or Google or, for that matter, any other company in the S&P 500. Other transformational companies will surely appear. Also, is your city growing?  If so, your house might go way up in value.  You might get an inheritance you didn’t expect.  Who knows?  I once worked with a woman who kept some stock in a small company she helped found decades before.  One day, she announced her retirement, completely unplanned, because her former partners had sold the business for big bucks.  We wanted to throw her a retirement party but she said, “Thanks but nah, I’m good. Bye-bye.”  The point is, optimism is no more expensive than pessimism.
  • The “Will I Run Out of Money?” retirement planning mindset is too fear-based and suffocating.  However, once you inventory all of the levers you have to pull that could prevent you from ever running out of money, you might very well find that spending your last dollar actually becomes much less likely to occur than making some of the many moves at your disposal to keep going. Maybe you’ll have less money after full-time work, as will we, perhaps, but having lots of money isn’t what makes us happy. Freedom and more time for greater fulfillment are better rewards.
  • What are some of your own levers?

    Literally no one is going to sit in their chair in pretirement, look at their financial plan and say to themselves, “This says I will run completely out of money in five years.  Gee, I guess I’m doomed to having the lights go off.”  No, you’ll get up out of your chair when you start to feel concerned and will pull some of your levers to adapt.

    The inevitable changes in life and our adaptations to them imply adventure to me.  I see my inventory of levers as forms of power to manage my life.  I also like the thought of employing them to benefit our own lives a lot more than the usual American work-full-time-until-you-can’t model that serves many others’ economic interests.  I figure, perhaps the best thing I can do for others whom I love is to first try to be happy and engaged with maximizing my own one life.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

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    The Pretirement Swim Through the Asset Isles

    A lot of planning in life seems like figuring out how to reach the next island.  You aim for the right college, then the right job, then a series of jobs, marriage, buying a house, kids 1, 2, 3 if you have any, moving to a new city, pretirement – all are major island destinations in Life’s Archipelago.  At each stop, one climbs onto a new shore of experience and maturity, surveys the landscape and settles in for a spell.  Pretty soon, all prior change is digested and another island of achievement and growth beckons on the horizon.

     

    A lot of planning in life seems like figuring out how to reach the next island.  You aim for the right college, then the right job, then a series of jobs, marriage, buying a house, kids 1, 2, 3 if you have any, moving to a new city, pretirement – all are major island destinations in Life’s Archipelago.  At each stop, one climbs onto a new shore of experience and maturity, surveys the landscape and settles in for a spell.  Pretty soon, all prior change is digested and another island of achievement and growth beckons on the horizon.

    During the career phase of life the journey is sustained largely by a salary or two in the household.  It is rare for a person to enter pretirement and be able to instantly command an equivalent income to the salary that got them there.  Instead, they usually have to assess the islands of assets shimmering out in their future, which they’ve created during their career, and begin swimming to the shore of one, consuming what they need there, then swimming to the next one.

    These “Asset Islands” have a lot of variety and include retirement accounts at work, IRAs and Roth IRAs, taxable brokerage accounts, home equity, rental property, work in pretirement, a new business, annuities, pensions and Social Security.

    I’ve explained how my wife and I hacked our retirement accounts at work earlier than most people do to start our pretirement by using the little-known Rule of 55 .  She is presently dialing work down and enjoying a kind of self-determined sabbatical while she explores when and how to dial paid work back up again.  Vanguard Personal Advisor Services built our financial plan specifically with such periodic sabbaticals in mind on the way toward reaching the final island in the chain, a place we might call No-Work-Atoll (sorry if that’s a groaner).

    When she finds her next job she will probably earn less money than in her last role as a busy manager.  That’s possible for us to absorb, because anticipating much lower salaries in the future is also built into our plan, as is the number of years we think we’ll work at them.  The plan’s DNA is, obviously, what we perceive will be greater happiness due to having more time for travel and individual pursuits. Money is one of the means.

    We know how we want the next 3 years or so to go.  Beyond that, it’s progressively hazy.  We also know that Stuff Happens.  If a few years from now we want to dial work and compensation up or down, based on what we think will make us most happy at that time, we can adjust the plan to project what the consequences to our stash will be.  If we decide we’ll obtain maximum happiness from working until we drop, which would be a surprise, we can rebuild our plan that way instead.

    Though I’m working full-time, as I have for decades, she has swum to the first island, which is her Thrift Savings Account (TSP), and is shaking herself dry in the shade of a coconut tree, rejuvenating for an undetermined period with a nice fresh mango.  I have not decided when I’ll swim to my 403b Island, (the 401k for the non-profit sector) so my first goal is to reach the calendar year in which I turn 55.  At that point, I’ll have the option to leave and start consuming 403b Island if I want to.  After that, our Vanguard plan calls for generally spending down our taxable assets first, the rest of our 403bs and TSP, then our large IRAs and lastly our Roths.

    A major destination on our swims is to reach age 70, we hope, at which time we’ll step onto Maximum Social Security Isle, the Big Island we’ll never leave.  That’s a major, annuitized land mass in our future budget, projected to pay about 2/3 of our needs per year.  Rather than taking Social Security at 62 as most people choose or need to do, our plan will have allowed us to wait for as long as possible, which is to age 70, giving our Social Security “annuities” time to grow as bountiful as can be.

    It would take the savings equivalent of a couple of million dollars to generate two thirds of our income needs per year sustainably like maximum Social Security will.  Yes, I know the news media, looking for doom and gloom to stimulate and scare us, tries to make us believe Social Security will disappear.  Many FIRE enthusiast assume zero Social Security. However, there are several ways to save this system that millions of voters depend on, and even the worse case, informed scenarios envision only 25% cuts to payments, which our plan can accommodate.

    If you haven’t done it, it is comforting and worthwhile to go to the Social Security website and compare how much more you will receive each year if you do not take the payments at 62 but wait until you are 70.  It’s the equivalent of an investment that grows at 8% per year for those 8 years. Multiply that largest-possible annual amount by 25 and consider that annuity value in the millions of dollars an additional component of your future portfolio.  It’s pretty compelling to think this way!

    Even after reaching Maximum Social Security Isle and setting up a permanent camp, we can enjoy the benefits of day trips to other places of non-work, most prominently our Roth IRAs, which are sizeable now, are invested aggressively in 100% stock index funds, and still have 15 and 17 years, respectively to percolate and compound for my wife and me before our plan calls for starting to bring them online if we want or need to.  The nice thing about Roths versus Traditional IRAs is that we don’t ever have to pay any taxes when we tap them, nor are we forced to start spending them at age 70.5 to begin paying back deferred taxes through Required Minimum Distributions.  As noted before, our plan’s idea is to have paid down the Traditional IRAs and 403bs so that Required Minimum Distributions aren’t much of a hit.

    We might still have our low-interest mortgage until I’m age 79.  Or, we might sell before then and move to, well, an island somewhere.  Either way, this residence contains home equity that is building up every year, which is another asset island we can draw from, sooner or later.  Even if we stay in this house until we swim no more, we have the option of a reverse mortgage to keep the party going.  Or hire a property manager to rent it out.  Again, that’s so far out into the future that we don’t think about it much.

    As I said, our plan has us working some or a lot, as we choose, for many years to come.  If we really, really wanted to stop working right now, we probably could, but it would require some fairly major adjustments that we aren’t feeling motivated to make.  We could move to a lower cost of living area or even a different country as many, many American expatriates do quite comfortably, never to see a staff meeting again.

    Maybe my wife and I will continue to find new islands of full-time work that will inspire us to swim to them.  On the other hand, maybe we won’t, in which case we’re prepared with a plan to be able to thrive on some of the asset islands we’ve built up.  Either way, the swim will be an adventure we intend to be ready for.

    Pretirement Disrupts Retirement

    The largely-outmoded On/Off Retirement Model world was about earning and saving so that, eventually, loooooong into the future, you could quit and not work anymore. As I look around at those I know who, like me, are in or around our 50s and 60s, hardly anyone seems to actually do that. We wonder if our lives would be more enjoyable if the paid work we did offered more of a creative challenge, while also allowing us more free time. We’ve achieved a certainly level of mastery in our professions and have crossed many of the goals off our list that used to motivate us. Are there many remaining rungs on the ladder before we reach the final one: Freedom from the ladder itself?

    The largely-outmoded On/Off Retirement Model world was about earning and saving so that, eventually, loooooong into the future, you could quit and not work anymore.  As I look around at those I know who, like me, are in or around our 50s and 60s, hardly anyone seems to actually do that.  We wonder if our lives would be more enjoyable if the paid work we did offered more of a creative challenge, while also allowing us more free time.  We’ve achieved a certainly level of mastery in our professions and have crossed many of the goals off our list that used to motivate us.  Are there many remaining rungs on the ladder before we reach the final one:  Freedom from the ladder itself?

    The traditional retirement model is not an ancient concept.  It was fully a product of the Industrial Revolution, with its production quotas, shift whistles, typing pools and lunch pails, whatever those were.  Like most outmoded systems, products and services, whether carburetors, taxi cabs, or making hotel reservations, traditional retirement is similarly ripe for disruption, technologically and socially.  I haven’t figured this new era all out for myself yet, much less for others, but I want to explore pretirement, sharing what I experience while learning from similarly-inclined people.

    The traditional retirement model was full of carrots at the finish line, most prominently pensions (remember those?), mythical gold watches and, eventually, when you are nearly spent, the full corporate endorsement to go play shuffle board in Florida.  Those things have largely gone the way of leaded gas.  Unfortunately, our society hasn’t yet embraced a clear replacement model for how most of us actually live post-full-time work.  There is literally no established structure or language around dialing work down in our society, no gradual staircase from full-bore career to more self-determination that is understood and accepted as fully legitimate.

    Few workers seem to understand those who “give up a really good career” in their 50s or even earlier.  That’s the time when we’re supposed to be in full Benjamin-stacking mode and demonstrating the mastery of our professions, grooming the next generation climbing the ladder.  We managers might have finally become one of the people everyone else is working for.  How could we just quit and do something else when we finally have all the brass rings in hand or nearly-so?

    It helps to consider how insecure our position as even a senior professional really is.  We mostly work today for corporations and organizations that call themselves “At-Will Employers” (see your Employee Handbook.)  Employers have all of the power to hire and fire you, which they certainly do without any hesitation when they choose to.  An individual has no power in that arrangement, except to exercise the other half of it, which is to build some assets and skills while working full-time so that we could ultimately fire the employer “at-will.”  That language is also in your employee handbook, though few of your colleagues are prepared to exercise it as ruthlessly as your employer is.  What if we had an acceptable, honorable language for today’s vast ranks of people our age who have put themselves in a position to exercise their half of the At-Will-Employment equation?

    Pretirement Power

    If our employers, explicitly and in writing, feel no obligation to help us descend the escalator from full time work to something else, what can we do for ourselves?

    What if we learned how to hack our financial assets in non-traditional ways before age 59.5 to support the pretirement lives we want to build for ourselves right now?

    What if we didn’t fear the loss of employer-provided health insurance anymore, because we can now use Health Savings Accounts and health insurance exchanges and other methods to bridge us to age 65 and Medicare? Our country is finally, fitfully, joining the rest of the rich, advanced world toward more rational and high-quality health care delivery.  We can finally come out of the cave of dependency on At-Will employers for our very medical care, blink in the daylight and chart our own paths.

    What if we got out from under oppressive mortgages and expensive house upkeep and, instead, leveraged our accumulated home equity to generate income, pursue travel or engage in more creative, smaller-scale and perhaps international or even cooperative living arrangements?  Many, many people explore the infinite variety of housing arrangements that are better for them and provide significant financial relief from the expensive 3BR/2BA, two car garage model.  Their housing choices make their pretirement budgets work really well.

    If we pursue for ourselves a creative and practical toolkit for pretirement, using words that are more nuanced and useful than On/Off “retirement,” then five or ten years from now, most people we meet will know instantly what a person means when they say “I’m pretiring.”  Pretirement could be a fully-respectable, accepted and understood phase of life.

    Pretirement is already practiced by perhaps a majority of people.  Our commercial society just doesn’t fully understand and recognize the concept as legitimate yet.  To many, it still seems a little flaky or unfortunate to just abandon the earning and spending treadmill early.  “Oh, does she have a health problem?”  “Did he get fired?”  “Their kids are out of college and his wife comes from money so, sure, he can quit and travel.”  Quitting seems”crazy” and/or “irresponsible.”  It’s been said that every job, no matter how good, comes with it’s own bucket of manure.  Perhaps the people who make those comments and who can’t fathom your choices will be able to understand once their bucket finally overflows, too.

    Those in the non-profit sector, like my wife and me, face an additional challenge, because we are supposed to be about improving a society that needs us.  We feel some inherent guilt pondering changes to careers dedicated to addressing the needs of the homeless/environment/sick people/children/other serious problems of society.  I am part of some professional organizations full of people my age and older who seem to remain genuinely fully-motivated to work-until-they-can’t on behalf of their organizations’ missions.  It’s awesome to see the ones who are still positive going strong for four or even five decades or more of full-time work for a better society.  I am in a good place at the moment, career-wise, though I know some others who are no longer happy in their work but who stay year after year.  I do not want to become one of those folks and I won’t ever let that happen.

    Sometimes you hear that someone is “semi-retiring”, “going part time” or “retiring early.”  Those words, along with the less-common “pretirement”, are part of the lexicon of this phase of life and are descriptive for many people’s routes through it.  As I said, I might be eventually done altogether with my demanding profession and not be interested in going part-time or semi-retiring from it.  I don’t know yet so I am working to make sure my choices, including working longer, are totally optional.  If I do change the type and volume of my paid work, preretirement seems a better fit for me than those other descriptors.  It’s hair-splitting semantics, perhaps, but it’s more apt for my mindset and probably for a lot of others out there.  It’s important to have the right word for what we’re each doing.

    I understand and respect that responsible people do what they have to do in the total context of their lives.  Many people just need to work to provide for others who depend on them.  I am sure that many other people still really like working at what they’ve been doing.  I read recently about a 107 year-old barber – who drives to work.  Fine, though also a bit terrifying as a fellow driver.  I’m not judging others’ choices and situations.  Some people still have a pension dangling out there, which seems to both entice and torture them.  There is no one-size-fits-all, only individual journeys that each person navigates as best they can.

    I’m the type who takes action when I need to.  As I face up to my own situation and feelings using whatever assets I have to create flexibility to make changes easily if my wife or I choose, perhaps others like us will obtain some benefit if I write about it.  I want to use my blog as part of my personal toolkit to explore alternative work and a lifestyle for always keeping myself happy, challenged and engaged throughout my one life.

    How are you thinking about pretirement?

    Pretirement and Political Consumption: The Set-It-And-Forget-It Approach

    I think having a strategy toward elections and political “news” is particularly important for people in pretirement.  We pretired folks have a goal of abundant free time, which we will need to fill in healthy ways.  Politics and government policy are important to be informed about, but only up to a small point.  What is more important is our individual happiness.  We want to do things that cause thoughts that then release happy endorphins into our system.

    Whew!  The latest “most important election of our lifetimes” is finally over.  The country was stoked to the boiling point with fears that were blared across social media, in every newspaper and on every TV news channel.  Lawn signs littered the city and countryside.  More money was spent than ever.  The people finally had their say.

    Me?  I participated far more than most citizens, but in a way that kept me more sane than in prior elections, using an approach that I plan to hone in the future.  I call this civic engagement style, “Set it and Forget it.”

    I think having a strategy toward elections and political “news” is particularly important for people in pretirement.  We pretired folks have a goal of abundant free time, which we will need to fill in healthy ways.  Politics and government policy are important to be informed about, but only up to a small point.  What is more important is our individual happiness.  We want to do things that cause thoughts that then release happy endorphins into our system.

    It’s great to experience, whenever possible, happy, healthy endorphins.  It’s bad to be addicted to cortisol, the fear and stress hormone.  Politics and the “news” media today, and maybe since the beginning, are based on getting your attention by tripping your inner alarm system.  In other words, politics and the “news” industry function by addicting you to unhealthy, unhappy cortisol.  Who wants to take a bad drug?

    Some of the symptoms from excess cortisol exposure, are:

    • Severe fatigue.
    • Muscle weakness.
    • Depression, anxiety and irritability.
    • Loss of emotional control.
    • Cognitive difficulties.
    • New or worsened high blood pressure.
    • Headache.
    • Bone loss, leading to fractures over time.

    Sounds a little like what many people encounter in older age, doesn’t it?  It also sounds like our reactions to partisan “news”.  Well, I want a healthy pretirement, which requires making choices that reduce my chances of experiencing all of those feelings and by creating conditions that help me experience the opposite of everything on that list.

    I left Facebook and I never went on Twitter specifically because I realized that time spent on social media makes me feel worse, not better.  The post-Facebook feeling was much like the feeling an hour after eating a big gourmet doughnut, which is to say unsatisfied and slightly regretful for the binge, yet also wanting a small additional hit of fat and sugar.  Whenever I happen to mention that I’m no longer on Facebook, nearly every single person says “Yeah, I don’t spend much time on Facebook anymore, either, but I like seeing pictures of our friends’ and families’ growing kids.”  Right.

    Even if that’s partially true, I’m not here to judge anyone but myself.  Social media’s effect on society, though, is of course worrisome.   How does looking at pictures of my cousin’s new baby contribute to further national tribalism and hacked elections by foreign dictatorships?  I take responsibility for having occasionally found myself on Facebook arguing with people whom I haven’t seen since high school (and really never knew all that well even then).  Those online “debates” seemed to become competitions for who had the best grasp of soundbites in the media, never once led to anyone’s perspectives changing by one inch, and always left me more frustrated, unsatisfied and distressed about the world than before.  We used words with each other online that we’d never use in person with them, making it awkward sometimes when we actually saw the person.  I found Facebook to be a cortisol shower, so I left it.  A couple of years later,  I do not miss it.  I can report that I have just as many real friends and family, and am happier and more productive.

    Cable “news” is a business model built on generating cortisol in you.  The stereotype of an older person sitting in their chair shouting at their set as they watch only the cable opinion shows that reinforce their preexisting views, is a little too accurate for comfort.  I do not want to be a person who frees myself from full time work, only to fill the extra hours with some corporate-induced sugar high of anger due to provocation on TV.  I saw a study recently that measured some 40-plus “breaking news alerts” from the major cable news channels per day.

    In addition to ditching Facebook, we cut the cord on cable television many years ago.  Now we curate what we watch, looking for shows on Netflix and Prime TV that we think will be satisfying to watch.  I don’t watch much TV but, when I do, I want that powerful medium to stimulate thoughts that fill me with happy endorphins, not make me unpleasant at cocktail parties.

    It is also important to be an engaged citizen, right?  If the older guy shouting at his TV stereotype is unflattering, so are those we all encounter who never seem to come in contact with a newspaper and would have a hard time telling you who their own governor is and probably couldn’t find England on a map.  No one should want to be that person, either.  Citizens who so un-engaged are also probably so passive and unread in their general approach to life that they, too, are probably not much fun at cocktail parties.

    So how can a person approach elections and politics in a relatively healthy way that doesn’t lead to them becoming either an angry or a boring variety of pretirement couch potato?  I do not claim to have perfected a method in the face of the $16 billion duopoly that is the American political industry designed to provoke my outrage and keep my attention on the perpetual campaign.  However, I am pushing back on it in a couple of useful ways.

    Set-It-and-Forget-It Political Engagement:

    1. Vote in every single election, whether primary, general or special
    2. Give a little money to candidates and causes but put it on monthly auto-pay.
    3. After that, focus on happier subjects than the “news”, such as being a pleasant cocktail party guest.

    We really do exist in a Coke vs. Pepsi kind of world when it comes to most of the choices on the ballot.  That analogy is a little unfair, because policy is a lot more impactful than our choice of chemical sugar waters.  On the other hand, some of the insult that emanates daily from the perpetual campaign duopoly and “news” industries is unfair to chemical sugar waters.  Exactly like Coke and Pepsi, however, the fundamental marketing machinery of our two major political parties is identical.  Also, for all practical purposes, we only have those two choices if we want our votes to occasionally be for a winner.  Sorry, third party enthusiasts, but I’ve given up on those.

    I try to be a realist so, realistically, I am a member of one of the tribes that the system has served up to me.  That’s a given, so a whole lot of worry and decision-making, stress and cortisol is avoided by voting for my tribe.  I vote in every single election, primary, general and special, and I vote for my party’s candidates 100%.  Judge me, if you will, but I can’t really conceive of voting for the other tribe’s values, philosophy or candidates and I don’t see that other parties’ candidates making any effort to come in my direction.  Neither wants to be “New Coke”, so they stick to their tribe.  That part has been set and forgotten, so I don’t need to spend my time being a political junky or policy wonk.

    We don’t live in a direct democracy.  We live in a republic.  That means we each have one vote, which we can apply toward our favored candidate.  If they win election, policy and the “news” media is really their problem at that point, not mine.  I can’t help them anymore.  They spend their term voting on policies to run our government, then we have an opportunity later to vote for or against them.  That’s really it.  We can choose to vote and consider it set and forgotten, then do other enjoyable things between elections and let the elected representatives do their jobs.  Or, we spend the interim consuming media, ranting on Facebook, raging against the machine looking for the next cortisol hit.  It doesn’t matter to how well our government works because our main role is to vote once per term.  I vote for my tribe in every single election, which is whole lot more than most people do, then I try to set it and forget it.

    Sometimes, a candidate comes along who either impresses or shocks me enough that I want to help or hurt them.  In other times, because my wife and I are engaged in the community, we feel obligated to attend political fundraisers we are invited to.  We want our neighbors to experience happy endorphins when they see us, so we go to these dull, crowded things but least there is always beer and snacks.

    We cut checks at those fundraisers but, in the past few elections cycles, I’ve gotten more enamored of auto-payments to selected candidates and get-out-the-vote-for-my-team organizations.  I can budget our spending better this way, which lets us give more over many months than cutting a check.  Best of all, my campaign contributions have been set and forgotten.  When I get the urgent weekly texts amounting to “OMG! I am campaign staffer Julie and something has just happened/or might happen, so please send in a gift RIGHT NOW!” I stay relaxed, knowing that my $20 for the month for the cause is already in motion so, when it arrives, Julie and her team can all look up from their computers, give each other high fives, raise a cheer to me and take the rest of the day off.

    Whether you like it or not, if you’ve read this far, you are probably already part of one political tribe or the other.  To your tribal leaders, your vote is taken for granted has been already set and forgotten.  Sorry to break it to you.  That’s because the elections industry duopoly expends all of its capital on trying to persuade the people supposedly in the middle. those who have managed to reach adulthood without choosing either Team Coke or Team Pepsi.  If an electric prod can occasionally get them to the polls, they are likely drink either flavor.  That’s the entire game.  On these swing voters every election hinges.  It doesn’t matter how much you or I spend our valuable pretirement hours reading the front section of the paper, obsessing on every outrage, yelling at the TV, door knocking, putting signs in our yard or otherwise bathing in cortisol like we’re taught to.  We might as well just vote every time, give a little money here and there, then focus on happier subjects.  Do that, and we’ll be much more active citizens than the vast majority yet we’ll be happier, too.

    How do you stay sane in face of the $16 billion permanent campaign duopoly, social media toxicity and the relentless industrial “news” cycle?

    Pretirement Money Management: Why We Use Vanguard Personal Advisor Services

    Vanguard owns a planning subsidiary, called Vanguard Advisors, Inc.  It exists solely  to help Vanguard clients, like my wife and me.  Vanguard’s Personal Advisor Services (PAS) program runs the gamut from simply consulting with clients to create investment plans that clients implement themselves to completely managing a person’s portfolio with an assigned Vanguard Personal Advisor.  This is the route we have taken in pretirement, and we are happy we did.  Here are some key reasons why:

    The pretirement or FIRE community seems to be mostly a do-it-yourself culture, regarding personal finance.  I enjoy sharing notes and learning from the avid posters on Early-Retirement.org and the Bogleheads Forum.  Many of those folks are highly knowledgeable and skilled investors who know what they are doing.  These smart people know that, despite the Hollywood trope of the successful stock trader as a hyperactive workaholic, usually the best way to make money in the markets is to do…absolutely nothing.  Multiple studies show that investors do better when they create long-term plans, set an intelligent highly diversified asset allocation, then leave it all alone to compound.

    If you are a person who knows a lot about investing in stocks and bonds in all of their flavors and yet can set your asset allocation and then not touch it for one or two decades, then hats off to you.  That is not me, however.  The more I learn about the markets, the more I am tempted to fiddle with my asset allocation in an attempt to optimize my portfolio based on the latest book I’ve read or piece of knowledge I think I’ve learned, which is exactly how mistakes are made and sub-par investing results earned.

    I don’t want to make mistakes, which is one of the main reasons we’ve chosen to use a financial advisor to manage our assets.  However, we haven’t chosen just any advisor on the street, because the investing world is full of bad advice.  I’ll probably write multiple posts about my strong belief in The Vanguard Group, which is a coop  owned by its mutual fund shareholders, rather than owned by some rich family or a financial conglomerate that is primarily responsible to Wall Street.  No, Vanguard is responsible to my wife and me.  That makes it unique.  Thanks to its shareholder-focused model, it has also become the largest mutual fund company in the world.  I am in no way paid to say any of these favorable comments about Vanguard but, they are different. If you don’t already know about Vanguard, do yourself a favor and study them.

    Vanguard owns a planning subsidiary, called Vanguard Advisors, Inc.  It exists solely  to help Vanguard clients, like my wife and me.  Vanguard’s Personal Advisor Services (PAS) program runs the gamut from simply consulting with clients to create investment plans that clients implement themselves to completely managing a person’s portfolio with an assigned Vanguard Personal Advisor.  This is the route we have taken in pretirement and we are happy we did.  Here are some key reasons why:

    1. My investor psychology is simply different during this new Spending Phase.  When my wife and I were just working and saving, investing was pretty easy.  We each contributed automatically at our work places in funds that had really high allocations to stocks and then we basically did nothing but watch the balances grow.  My wife and I are now tiptoeing into the Spending Phase and it feels completely different to actually need to consume some of the milk our herd of mutual fund cows produces.  Earlier in this phase, I found myself checking balances constantly instead of annually, worrying more about daily swings in the market and, worst of all, making some modest changes in our portfolio due to my emotional reactions to global events, like elections or my perception of where the economy lies in the business cycle.  That’s certifiably dumb.  Even though I made no huge mistakes, I know I shouldn’t fiddle. I found that I was becoming an active investor, convincing myself that I was smart enough to time the markets here and there.  Turning over our assets to an objective manager, who is in regular consultation with us, made the fiddling stop, which is to say my potential for making mistakes was removed.  Our portfolio is a globally diversified, low cost stew of about 55% stock index funds and 45% bond index funds.
    2. Vanguard is smarter than me.  Vanguard spends millions and millions of dollars to provide its clients the optimal investing experience with regard to asset allocation, tax-efficiency, fees, projecting how much we can spend sustainably from our portfolio, and a myriad of other factors.  I could spend all of my free time becoming expert in those and many other disciplines, as many people on the above-mentioned forums seem to enjoy doing, yet I still wouldn’t be nearly as smart about any aspect of investing as Vanguard’s people and software.  I’m at least smart and humble enough to know that.
    3. Rebalancing is assured.  Rebalancing is not difficult to do.  I could, and did, rebalance our asset allocation before we hired our Vanguard advisor to do it for us.  We have all recently been living through one of the longest bull markets in history, when investing mistakes have actually been difficult to make.  But here’s the thing I have significant self-doubt about:  When our stock funds inevitably tank again when the business cycle changes, and when the economic news is terrible, with people losing their jobs, businesses imploding and our portfolio shrinking, will I be able to do the annual rebalance?  Meanwhile, as stocks are in retreat, our bond funds will likely remain content as a patch of flowers finally enjoying their day in the sun, maybe falling a little at first as panicked investors sell everything and move to cash, but then perhaps growing as the Fed cuts interest rates to stimulate lending to spur the ailing economy.  In that emotional environment, will I have the guts to do what I need to do, which is sell my bonds to buy more stocks?  Maybe.  I’ve invested right through sharp bear markets before and didn’t flinch that much.  However, we now have a lot invested and, as I said, we’re depending on it more.  I know myself well enough to question whether I would do what needs to be done when the tide next turns.  My Vanguard advisor, however, won’t hesitate to aim right for the jugular of those big fat happy bonds and trade them for scary, depressed stocks, right on schedule.  That certainty is worth paying him for.
    4. My wife is more included than ever before.  “I trust you to manage our money” was the blessing and curse of my days taking the lead financially while we built our nest egg.  She has saved up about a third of what we have, so it never felt quite right to me to make our financial decisions all on my own.  Now we have a friendly, patient and neutral third party in our discussions, whom she and I both respond well to, married couple that we are in all of the usual complications. It feels really good to be on the same page with her, finally.
    5. Help if something bad happens.  I also really like knowing that, if I am somehow incapacitated, Vanguard PAS will be calling her at least quarterly, as usual, to make sure the money she depends on is there for her.  Vice versa, too.
    6. We will know, with high confidence, exactly how much we can spend safely.  Vanguard Advisors has spent a lot of money to create its Dynamic Spending Model.  It is very powerful and very cool.  Using Monte Carlo analysis of all of the known investing history of every asset class that we own, our advisor will be able to tell us with some 95% confidence how much we can spend, sustainably, through age 100.  If things happen, as they do in life, we will adjust the plan, aiming to stay above the 85% confidence threshold. Our plan includes every input we want to add, such as how long we think we want to work full and part-time, how much we think we’ll earn, when we think we’ll buy cars next, some home renovations we want to do, when our mortgage gets paid off and when we think we’ll start taking Social Security.  Annually, our advisor will tell us how much we can safely spend for the coming year.  That amount will be indexed to inflation but won’t go up more than 5% or down more than 2.5% in any single year, which is totally manageable.  Doing what Vanguard’s Dynamic Spending Model tells us to do beats the heck out of arguing on the online DIY forums over whether the vaunted  “4% Rule” or some other % is sustainable or not, as seems to be the constant discussion online.  I don’t worry about that stuff anymore, which feels great.  Bonus News:  We get to spend significantly more than 4% with 95% confidence.  We will be able to live well in pretirement while sleeping well at night .
    7. The costs are pretty reasonable.  We pay .30% of the assets Vanguard manages for us, plus the normal super-low expense ratio of the underlying Vanguard mutual funds we own, for a total of approximately .4%.  Those numbers sound tiny but they have real impact over many years.  On the bright side, such management and advice service at most any other firm is going to cost 1 to 2% per year.  If planning wisdom says that an investor should aim to spend no more than 4 or 5% of their portfolio each year to sustain it, 1 – 2% is a huge, stupid bite out of one’s pretirement lifestyle to fork over to an advisor.  Vanguard’s PAS fees aren’t nothing but, in an investing world that is designed to separate you from your money through fees you don’t understand, Vanguard is on the side of the angels.  I’m happy to pay Vanguard’s relatively small fees for all of the service we get.
    8. I have stopped all fretting and fiddling with my portfolio, providing a lot of new time and mental space for other pursuits, like blogging!

    Pretirement Using the Rule of 55: Access the Stash before Age 59 1/2

    One little-known worm-hole in the financial universe is The Rule of 55.  It only applies to certain workplace retirement plans, like 401ks, 403bs and the Thrift Savings Account. The rule does not apply to IRAs or Roth IRAs.  It does not even apply to every single 401k plan and their equivalents.  You have to research your own employer’s plan’s rules to see if it’s in the fine print.  I have done that research for my wife’s plan and mine, which required calling the fund companies that administer our work place plans.  I did not find our in-house Benefits staff knowledgeable about it.  Thanks to my research, low and behold, The Rule of 55 applies to both of our plans, meaning that we can access our workplace retirement funds for pretirement in the year in which we turn 55 or later – if we separate from employment.

    If you’re a saver, you probably have a lot of your funds squirreled away in IRAs, a 401k, 403b or another tax-advantaged account.  If you have been contributing throughout your career, these funds likely comprise a large part of your nest egg.  There might be enough in your 401k to pay off your mortgage, buy the nicest BMW, or a second home. For cash!

    Of course, you’re not going to do those things with your hard-won “retirement accounts”, because they are intended to support you later in life.  For that reason and to incentivize your own protection, the retirement account rules are that you generally need to be aged 59 1/2 to access those funds without incurring a large 10% penalty, in addition to the usual income taxes.  Not many portfolios are large enough to withstand that kind of assault.

    However, there are various little-publicized yet legal caveats that allow an investor to access those funds earlier, if needed or wanted, without the 10% penalty.   Different plans allow for loans and they have provisions for educational or emergency purposes. There is also a method called the 72t Rule, which allows a person to tap his or her IRA before age 59 1/2 using “substantially equal periodic payments.”   Others have hacked the Traditional and Roth IRA rules so that they can withdraw the funds that they deposited five years earlier or more, using a “Backdoor Roth”.

    If any of those financial gymnastics appeal to you, you can Google around to learn about them.  I have used none of them, because they seem complicated and, regardless, I’m not here to provide anyone any financial advice whatsoever.  Though I have an avid appreciation for the benefits of smart personal finance, you should know that I was a history major in college.  Technically, I was an economic history major but that still does not qualify me to give you financial advice.

    What I can tell you is what we’ve done in our family, which is to access our stash earlier than 59 1/2 so that we can lean on it as a third leg of the stool along with our two careers.

    One little-known worm-hole in the financial universe is The Rule of 55.  It only applies to certain workplace retirement plans, like 401ks, 403bs and the Thrift Savings Account. The rule does not apply to IRAs or Roth IRAs.  It does not even apply to every single 401k plan and their equivalents.  You have to research your own employer’s plan’s rules to see if it’s in the fine print.  I have done that research for my wife’s plan and mine, which required calling the fund companies that administer our work place plans.  I did not find our in-house Benefits staff knowledgeable about it.  Thanks to my research, low and behold, The Rule of 55 applies to both of our plans, meaning that we can access our workplace retirement funds for pretirement in the year in which we turn 55 or later – if we separate from employment.

    Let’s break down that last critical, guiding phrase into two components.

    To access our workplace retirement funds penalty-free, we must have reached the calendar year in which we turn 55.  In other words, we can be 54! Happily, like me, my wife has been an avid saver, maximizing her pre-tax retirement account savings for years, enjoying the large benefits of tax-deferral, her employer match and the “catch-up provision” that allows a saver to save even more starting at age 50.  Also happily, she’s a little older than me.  So, when she decided to step down from her last position for a needed break at age 54 she qualified for The Rule of 55, because her 55th birthday was coming soon in that same calendar year.  Since her separation from employment, she’s been making withdrawals from her own retirement fund, penalty-free, to support her enjoyable sabbatical.  Regular income taxes will still be due, just as if she was working.

    As we joke about, I’m a mere pup at 52. I, too, will qualify for The Rule of 55 with my employer’s plan only 14 months from now.  How?  Thanks to my parents, my birthday is very late in the calendar year, meaning that the calendar year in which I turn 55 will begin just after I’ve turned 54, so I get nearly a twelve month head start on The Rule of 55.  Thank you Mom and Dad!

    The big catch is, of course, I would need to leave my employer, which I am not ready to do.  I’m enjoying my work and my salary and am still in full Benjamin-stacking mode.  Still, the peace of mind of knowing that my wife and I don’t have to wait until 59 1/2 to pretire, assuming the rest of our Vanguard plan checks out, as it does, is huge comfort for us.  My wife is taking a pretirement break while I work, because we choose to.

    Pretirement Motivation: The Bosses I’ve Had

    The longer I work, the more the quality of my relationship with my supervisor seems to count toward my job satisfaction.  I’ve had several managers in my life with whom I worked for significant stretches of time.  I was really fortunate with most of them but, two of them, well, hoo-wee!  They did more to plant me on the long path to pretirement freedom than anything else.  More later about what I learned from working for them, and getting away from them.  If it’s true that we learn the most from the challenging people in our lives, then I am grudgingly grateful for this pair’s abundant gifts to me.  Or something.

    The longer I work, the more the quality of my relationship with my supervisor seems to count toward my job satisfaction.  I’ve had several managers in my life with whom I worked for significant stretches of time.  I was really fortunate with most of them but, two of them, well, hoo-wee!  They did more to plant me on the long path to pretirement freedom than anything else.  More later about what I learned from working for them, and getting away from them.  If it’s true that we learn the most from the challenging people in our lives, then I am grudgingly grateful for this pair’s abundant gifts to me.  Or something.

    When I started out in my career, trying to get my first foothold on the rock face of the mountain climb ahead, I didn’t care to whom I reported.  “Just gimme the job and I’ll figure it out.”  In my twenties my attitude and best plan was that I wanted some kind of a coherent non-profit career.

    What a strange thing the manager/report relationship is, when you step back.  You’ve had maybe one or two interactions with the person in an unnatural competitive interview process.  The next day, that near-stranger holds a huge amount of power over your every day existence and entire professional future.

    Managers matter, too.  In college, one of my very best friends and I held part time jobs working at a golf club with a team of other students.  We took golf bags off carts, cleaned the clubs and kept the driving range stocked with balls.  Clearly, the job was not complicated or demanding, which was a perfect counterbalance to working so hard for good grades.

    One day, the assistant golf pro who managed us, an easy-going fellow, was suddenly gone. I never learned why.  In his place was a new guy, Wade, who was memorable to me only because he was wound so tight that it was comical to other people.  It was a golf course, not a hospital emergency room, but Wade was prickly, ambitious and clearly insecure in his new assistant golf pro role.  I don’t actually remember any words he ever uttered but, as with nearly everyone we humans encounter in life, I recall perfectly my inner reaction to him:  Poor Wade’s vibe was, “Saguaro Cactus.”

    In fairness, the assistant pro job was probably an important promotion for Wade, because this private club was selective, expensive and had an influential membership.  Wade sometimes manifested his innate stress by snapping at us about this or that inconsequential thing.  He caused the fun tone we had previously enjoyed to evaporate from our little team of eager college kids, who were mostly there to earn a few simple bucks without a lot hassle.

    I never had words with Wade but my friend did.  I don’t remember when Wade left my life or vice versa, but I happily and instantly erased him from my mind.  Years later, his name came up when I was talking with my good friend.  Right out of college this talented friend had started his own software company at the dawn of the dot.com era.  His company followed the classic tech startup script: Identify a niche, write some code, create a product, secure some sales, attract  venture capital, grow the staff to hundreds and, in a few years, sell the company.

    He still works full time for himself, though he probably doesn’t have to anymore.  I once asked my friend his motivation for starting his own companies, which always awed me as a person who gravitated to what I felt was the comfort and safety of large organizations.  He didn’t hesitate:

    “You remember that guy Wade?”

    It took me a beat before I did. “Oh, that guy.  Ha!  I wonder where he is now?”

    My friend said, “I don’t know, but I couldn’t see myself working for jerks like him the rest of my life.  That guy made me determined to never have a boss.”

    I, on the other hand, proceeded to have several bosses, and I take responsibility for my choices.  I always assumed I had no business having a business, and I think I was 100% right about that.   I also never saw myself as an S&P 500 corporate type, because corporations seemed to me dog-eat-dog environments, where the profit motive caused people to step on someone’s head while competing to climb the ladder.  Now that I have some career experience, I’m sure that’s mostly an incorrect Darwinian stereotype about major corporations.  Nor did I see myself in the military, though I really admire people I know who did go that route. I think I might have liked the Navy or Coast Guard, but that’s just my current self speaking to my earlier self, which is pointless.

    Rather, I distinctly decided during my senior year in college that I wanted to pursue my passion for trying to make a difference through some kind of public service, and that I’d probably do so working for a larger non-profit organization or government agency.  I assumed non-profit organizations filled with passionate people who worked to make a difference in the world were also places where I stood the best chance of being treated as a human being myself, rather than an expendable corporate cog, which seemed kind of important, too.

    I’m not qualified to judge corporate life with any accuracy but I think I was basically correct about non-profits.  I’ve generally been treated well and I feel that, frequently, I’ve enjoyed the satisfaction of having helped make a difference.  For the most part, I’ve reported to humane leaders who appreciated my contributions and who coached and rewarded me fairly.  I’ve tried to model my own behavior as a manager on what I learned from those fine leaders, some of whom remain mentors and even friends.

    I also learned a lot from surviving the more toxic leaders I reported to.  A couple of my many educational takeaways from them were:

    1. “Don’t wish for my boss to change.  I’m the one who needs to change something.”  When I have realized in the past that I’ve lost respect for my manager, I have learned that I am one who needs to act.  People above them have different relationships with them, so no one is likely going to act because I’m unhappy.  It was easy to remain stuck by fooling myself that “This is just how work and bosses are”.  That is simply not true.  I need to analyze the situation and calculate my happiness level in it then, if necessary, start sharpening my resume and cultivating my network.
    2. Life is too short to be unhappy at work.  Some of the most miserable people I have ever met address their unhappiness with work by trying to cement themselves in place more firmly.  Their hate for their jobs and unwillingness to solve it through taking action puts them in a posture of constant pain, which manifests in all kinds of toxic behaviors.  They seem to me like a child who thinks that if he holds his breath long enough, the person he’s angry at will pass out.  Not me.  I believe in monitoring my work happiness and remaining prepared to leave when the organization I once worked for has changed around me unsatisfactorily in some way.  I try hard to stay entirely positive and grateful about being employed but also committed to freeing myself to do something else, if needed.  We work in this modern world of few pensions, few protected unions, no contracts and “At-Will Employment.”  If there is to be any fairness at all in such a lopsided world, we have to approach the agreement to hold a job as a two-way street.

    Though my current situation is a good one, a big point of this blog is to help me plan for how to spend my time after I eventually retire the sword and want to do something else, as nearly everyone my age seems to be contemplating.  What I want is still a work in progress.  I hope through this blog that I can explore myself but also learn from others’ experiences in creatively tackling this common question stemming from a growing desire for more work freedom.  In other words, I want to start defining my pretirement.

    That exploration is still ahead of me but I realize after nearly three decades of working for organizations, during which I’ve had several significant supervisors, some of whom were wonderful to know and others whom I was relieved to flee, I think I am evolving to the place that my good friend started out with:  At some point, I want to be done with bosses.

    What about the bosses you’ve had?